Saturday, February 13, 2010

Guess What? Only 29% of Registered Voters Considered Obama Experienced Enough to be President in August of 2007 (Update: More on Palin from Dan Balz)

Liberal Steve Kornacki claims in the following segment with Chris Matthews that the parallel Ronald Brownstein attempts to draw between a potential presidential run by Sarah Palin and the presidential run of Barack Obama in 2007-2008 doesn't work because there was allegedly never a poll showing that a plurality of Democrats questioned whether Obama was qualified for the top job. As usual, Konarcki is wrong.

According to CBS News, only 29% of registered voters considered then presidential candidate Barack Obama experienced enough to be President in August of 2007, just six months before the Iowa caucuses. This CBS News poll shows that a plurality of Democrat primary voters considered Obama to lack the experience to serve as President. By a almost a 2-to-1 margin, Independents answered the question negatively.

The date of this poll is also critical. Democrats had serious questions about Obama's qualifications six months before the Iowa caucuses.
Whatever questions that Republicans allegedly have about Sarah Palin's qualifications come around two years before the Iowa caucuses in the event she does decide to run for President.

I don't see a significant distinction between the challenges that Barack Obama faced with voters in his own party regarding his qualifications and the challenges that Sarah Palin face with voters in her party regarding her qualifications. As this poll demonstrates, it is not unprecedented for a new figure, like Sarah Palin or Barack Obama, to start off with a skeptical audience even within their own party. The biggest difference is that Palin has even more time to convince the skeptical audience than candidate Obama had six months prior to the Iowa caucuses.

Update: Dan Balz in the Washington Post pens an article about Governor Palin that includes a ton of quotes from random Republicans.

Update #2: A troll is claiming that the reason why Obama had so many people questioning his qualifications initially is because nobody knew him and that those numbers changed once people got to know him. That's clearly not true for the first seven months of his campaign according to this poll. Question 44 clearly establishes that as voters got to know him from January 2007 to August 2007, more and more registered voters deemed him unqualified for the job. The percentage of registered voters who thought he lacked the experience to serve as President increased by twenty percentage points from January 2007 to August 2007. In any event, Obama had a much narrower time frame than Sarah Palin does right now as we are still around two years away from the 2012 Iowa caucuses whereas Obama was going to face voters in just around four months.

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